Morella vs Benicense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LAL
1 - 2
MOR
21%
23%
57%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
MOR
35%
25%
41%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
ALC
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RPL
2 - 1
MOR
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
NJC
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Benicense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
ALM
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
LAL
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
BEN
57%
19%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
4 - 2
RAF
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 3
BEN
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |