Morell vs Sant Ildefons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDC
0 - 3
MOR
38%
23%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
CFV
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LLB
1 - 2
MOR
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
CFA
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CEE
0 - 2
MOR
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sant Ildefons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UES
2 - 1
CFR
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
UDT
1 - 2
UES
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UES
1 - 0
UDV
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
UES
5 - 0
LLB
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CEE
1 - 1
UES
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |