CA Morelia vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MOR
3 - 2
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MON
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MOR
4 - 4
CAZ
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 0
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
MOR
3 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
QRO
1 - 0
AME
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
EST
0 - 2
QRO
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
QRO
1 - 1
PUM
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
QRO
1 - 2
ATL
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 2
QRO
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |