CA Morelia vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 2
MOR
25%
28%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
PUM
51%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 0
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 0
MOR
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 0
SNL
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
PUM
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 0
CHI
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUM
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |