Liga Portugal Betclic Primeira Liga Round 16

Moreirense vs Vitória Guimarães analysis

Moreirense Vitória Guimarães
75 ELO 81
-6.5% Tilt -0.3%
301º General ELO ranking 111º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.7%
Moreirense
27.1%
Draw
41.2%
Vitória Guimarães

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
Moreirense
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.2%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Moreirense
-4%
-6%
Vitória Guimarães

ELO progression

Moreirense
Vitória Guimarães
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moreirense
Moreirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2016
BOA
Boavista
0 - 3
Moreirense
MOR
31%
28%
41%
75 68 7 0
29 Dec. 2015
ORI
Oriental Lisboa
2 - 4
Moreirense
MOR
15%
21%
63%
75 54 21 0
20 Dec. 2015
MOR
Moreirense
2 - 0
Nacional
NAC
30%
28%
43%
74 80 6 +1
13 Dec. 2015
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 1
Moreirense
MOR
69%
19%
11%
75 87 12 -1
06 Dec. 2015
MOR
Moreirense
0 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
27%
28%
45%
74 85 11 +1

Matches

Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2016
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
0 - 1
Benfica
SLB
24%
26%
50%
81 87 6 0
19 Dec. 2015
EST
Estoril
0 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
46%
26%
29%
80 81 1 +1
12 Dec. 2015
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
3 - 4
Marítimo
MAR
44%
27%
29%
81 79 2 -1
07 Dec. 2015
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
3 - 1
Rio Ave
RIO
43%
28%
29%
80 80 0 +1
28 Nov. 2015
BOA
Boavista
1 - 2
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
22%
26%
53%
80 68 12 0