Moralo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
MOR
14%
22%
65%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 0
BAD
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 3
MOR
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDT
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
CDD
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BAD
0 - 0
JER
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
JER
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
JER
2 - 0
PLA
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JER
3 - 2
MOR
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
JER
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |