Moralo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
PLA
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
MOR
16%
21%
64%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 4
COR
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
MOR
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 3
EXT
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
JER
4 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
COR
2 - 0
JER
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
JER
1 - 1
CAL
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
EXT
1 - 1
JER
23%
23%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
JER
2 - 5
CPC
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |