Moralo vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JER
1 - 2
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 3
AZU
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CDB
4 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 1
UCL
69%
19%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
CPC
17%
23%
60%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 3
UDF
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JER
0 - 0
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
AZU
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDB
4 - 1
CAL
73%
16%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |