Third Division Round 25

Montrose vs Peterhead analysis

Montrose Peterhead
42 ELO 48
16.8% Tilt 3.3%
3321º General ELO ranking 3560º
39º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Montrose
23.6%
Draw
31.7%
Peterhead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
Montrose
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.7%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montrose
-10%
-9%
Peterhead

ELO progression

Montrose
Peterhead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montrose
Montrose
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2012
QUE
Queen's Park
5 - 0
Montrose
MON
68%
19%
13%
45 54 9 0
04 Feb. 2012
MON
Montrose
1 - 1
Annan Athletic
BLA
35%
25%
40%
44 53 9 +1
28 Jan. 2012
ALL
Alloa Athletic
2 - 0
Montrose
MON
70%
18%
12%
45 56 11 -1
21 Jan. 2012
THE
East Stirlingshire
3 - 1
Montrose
MON
34%
25%
41%
47 38 9 -2
14 Jan. 2012
MON
Montrose
4 - 0
Clyde
CLY
54%
23%
23%
45 46 1 +2

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2012
ELG
Elgin City
6 - 1
Peterhead
PET
55%
22%
23%
49 49 0 0
11 Feb. 2012
PET
Peterhead
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
35%
25%
40%
48 54 6 +1
31 Jan. 2012
ALL
Alloa Athletic
3 - 1
Peterhead
PET
64%
21%
16%
49 56 7 -1
28 Jan. 2012
PET
Peterhead
2 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
37%
27%
37%
48 56 8 +1
21 Jan. 2012
CLY
Clyde
0 - 1
Peterhead
PET
46%
24%
30%
47 45 2 +1