Montrose vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
RAI
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CLY
2 - 1
MON
25%
24%
52%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
ALL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
QOS
2 - 3
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
PET
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
EAS
40%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
STI
2 - 1
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 0
FOR
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |