CF Montréal vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
39%
30%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
AUS
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 2
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PRI
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
POR
39%
30%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
9 - 0
FOR
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAN
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
VAN
0 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |