French League U19 Group D Round 20

Montpellier U19 vs Nice U19 analysis

Montpellier U19 Nice U19
41 ELO 39
-3.9% Tilt -6.7%
6578º General ELO ranking 7357º
168º Country ELO ranking 214º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Montpellier U19
23.4%
Draw
22.1%
Nice U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
Montpellier U19
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.1%
Win probability
Nice U19
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montpellier U19
-5%
+39%
Nice U19

Points and table prediction

Montpellier U19
Their league position
Nice U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
46
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Saint-Etienne U19
54
54
100%
Olympique Marseille U19
53
53
100%
Toulouse U19
49
52
90.5%
Montpellier U19
47
50
90.5%
Nice U19
46
46
100%
Ajaccio U19
41
41
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
38
38
100%
Monaco U19
32
35
92.5%
Colomiers U19
33
33
92.5%
Olympique Rovenain U19
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Air Bel U19
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Rodez U19
12º
20
20
12º
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montpellier U19
Nice U19
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montpellier U19
Nice U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montpellier U19
Montpellier U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
MON
Montpellier U19
4 - 2
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
78%
14%
9%
41 24 17 0
06 Apr. 2025
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
0 - 4
Montpellier U19
MON
32%
24%
44%
40 34 6 +1
23 Mar. 2025
MON
Montpellier U19
1 - 2
Saint-Etienne U19
ETI
47%
25%
28%
41 40 1 -1
16 Mar. 2025
ROD
Rodez U19
1 - 4
Montpellier U19
MON
27%
22%
51%
40 29 11 +1
16 Feb. 2025
OLY
Olympique Marseille U19
3 - 1
Montpellier U19
MON
51%
24%
26%
41 41 0 -1

Matches

Nice U19
Nice U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio U19
0 - 4
Nice U19
NIC
43%
24%
33%
36 36 0 0
05 Apr. 2025
NIC
Nice U19
5 - 0
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
ASG
85%
10%
5%
36 14 22 0
22 Mar. 2025
ORO
Olympique Rovenain U19
2 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
21%
20%
59%
38 22 16 -2
16 Mar. 2025
NIC
Nice U19
0 - 0
Colomiers U19
COL
76%
15%
9%
38 26 12 0
16 Feb. 2025
NIC
Nice U19
1 - 1
Air Bel U19
ABE
66%
17%
16%
38 30 8 0