Montpellier vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
REI
3 - 3
MPL
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MPL
2 - 3
MAR
45%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MET
1 - 0
MPL
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 2
MPL
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CLE
3 - 2
MPL
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 0
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
LOR
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 0
ANG
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 1
LOR
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 1
GIR
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |