Montpellier vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LYO
3 - 2
MPL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MPL
2 - 2
ANG
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 2
MPL
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MPL
2 - 4
REI
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
PSG
5 - 1
MPL
85%
10%
4%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
STR
0 - 0
GUI
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
DIJ
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 0
GUI
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 0
NAN
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
ANG
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |