Montilla CF vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 0
MON
24%
28%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
MON
3 - 0
PIL
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 0
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
ARH
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 1
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
EGA
60%
23%
17%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
UDT
49%
27%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 0
MAR
36%
30%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAE
42%
27%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |