Montija vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
4 - 2
MON
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 5
GRO
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MON
4 - 1
VAD
52%
20%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
SCC
49%
21%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 3
BEL
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 2
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 0
SAL
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SCC
0 - 2
CAP
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 3
CDB
58%
22%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |