Apertura Uruguay round 3

Montevideo Wanderers vs Rampla Juniors analysis

Montevideo Wanderers Rampla Juniors
74 ELO 69
11.8% Tilt 4.5%
488º General ELO ranking 781º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
62.5%
Montevideo Wanderers
21.3%
Draw
16.1%
Rampla Juniors

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
Montevideo Wanderers
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.2%
Win probability
Rampla Juniors
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montevideo Wanderers
-11%
-19%
Rampla Juniors

ELO progression

Montevideo Wanderers
Rampla Juniors
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montevideo Wanderers
Montevideo Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2007
NAC
Nacional
2 - 0
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
54%
24%
22%
75 80 5 0
18 Aug. 2007
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
1 - 1
Tacuarembó FC
TAC
61%
22%
17%
75 71 4 0
12 May. 2007
CEN
Central Español FC
2 - 1
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
33%
28%
40%
75 67 8 0
05 May. 2007
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
3 - 2
Progreso
PRO
66%
21%
14%
75 67 8 0
28 Apr. 2007
CSC
Cerrito
2 - 0
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
31%
28%
41%
75 68 7 0

Matches

Rampla Juniors
Rampla Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2007
JUN
Rampla Juniors
1 - 0
Bella Vista
BVS
41%
27%
32%
68 74 6 0
18 Aug. 2007
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 1
Rampla Juniors
JUN
61%
22%
18%
68 82 14 0
12 May. 2007
CSC
Cerrito
1 - 2
Rampla Juniors
JUN
45%
27%
29%
67 68 1 +1
05 May. 2007
JUN
Rampla Juniors
2 - 1
Bella Vista
BVS
37%
28%
36%
66 74 8 +1
28 Apr. 2007
CSM
Miramar Misiones
0 - 1
Rampla Juniors
JUN
54%
23%
23%
66 68 2 0