Clausura Uruguay round 6

Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis

Montevideo Wanderers Defensor Sporting
70 ELO 72
1.9% Tilt 11.5%
490º General ELO ranking 484º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37%
Montevideo Wanderers
26.1%
Draw
36.9%
Defensor Sporting

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
Montevideo Wanderers
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.9%
Win probability
Defensor Sporting
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montevideo Wanderers
-5%
+1%
Defensor Sporting

ELO progression

Montevideo Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montevideo Wanderers
Montevideo Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2019
PEÑ
Peñarol
1 - 0
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
67%
19%
14%
70 81 11 0
05 Oct. 2019
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 1
Progreso
PRO
43%
26%
31%
71 71 0 -1
22 Sep. 2019
FEN
Fénix
3 - 3
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
50%
24%
26%
70 72 2 +1
20 Sep. 2019
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 1
Nacional
NAC
28%
27%
46%
71 81 10 -1
14 Sep. 2019
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
3 - 1
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
46%
25%
30%
72 73 1 -1

Matches

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2019
DEF
Defensor Sporting
0 - 0
Liverpool Montevideo
LFC
49%
25%
26%
73 73 0 0
06 Oct. 2019
JUV
Juventud
1 - 3
Defensor Sporting
DEF
43%
26%
31%
72 72 0 +1
22 Sep. 2019
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 0
Rampla Juniors
JUN
55%
23%
22%
71 67 4 +1
19 Sep. 2019
CEL
Cerro Largo
1 - 4
Defensor Sporting
DEF
49%
26%
25%
70 76 6 +1
15 Sep. 2019
PEÑ
Peñarol
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
66%
20%
14%
71 81 10 -1