Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
MWA
38%
26%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MWA
0 - 2
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 1
MWA
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 1
JUN
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 2
MWA
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
DEF
5 - 2
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
PRO
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 1
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |