Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JUN
4 - 3
MWA
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 2
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
MWA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CER
1 - 2
MWA
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 1
BOS
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
BOS
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LFC
0 - 1
DEF
34%
26%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 0
ETS
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 0
DEF
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
38%
26%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |