Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MWA
1 - 1
CSY
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
DEP
0 - 0
MWA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MWA
2 - 2
PLA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FEN
1 - 0
MWA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 3
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
DEF
4 - 1
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CSY
1 - 2
DEF
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |