Montevarchi Calcio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
ASD
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
DER
0 - 2
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 0
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
42%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
SSD
4 - 0
ACM
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SSD
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SCA
2 - 0
SSD
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SSD
2 - 0
CLZ
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 2
SSD
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |