Serie D Round 26

Montevarchi Calcio vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis

Montevarchi Calcio US Forcoli 1921
35 ELO 29
-19.2% Tilt -4.3%
5151º General ELO ranking 21462º
181º Country ELO ranking 607º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Montevarchi Calcio
25%
Draw
24.2%
US Forcoli 1921

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
Montevarchi Calcio
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.2%
Win probability
US Forcoli 1921
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Montevarchi Calcio
US Forcoli 1921
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montevarchi Calcio
Montevarchi Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2010
MON
Monterotondo Lupa
1 - 0
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
40%
25%
35%
35 32 3 0
28 Feb. 2010
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
1 - 1
Orvietana Calcio
ORV
58%
24%
18%
36 29 7 -1
21 Feb. 2010
ACD
ACD Guidonia
4 - 0
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
38%
25%
37%
38 31 7 -2
14 Feb. 2010
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
3 - 0
Follonica Gavorrano
GAV
32%
26%
41%
35 41 6 +3
07 Feb. 2010
SGP
Sangimignanosport
0 - 2
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
36%
25%
39%
34 29 5 +1

Matches

US Forcoli 1921
US Forcoli 1921
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2010
FOR
US Forcoli 1921
1 - 1
ASD Pontevecchio
ASD
45%
25%
30%
30 30 0 0
28 Feb. 2010
ACM
AC Monteriggioni
0 - 0
US Forcoli 1921
FOR
31%
25%
43%
30 24 6 0
21 Feb. 2010
FOR
US Forcoli 1921
2 - 0
ASD Sporting Terni
ASD
60%
22%
19%
30 23 7 0
14 Feb. 2010
CLZ
Calenzano
2 - 0
US Forcoli 1921
FOR
30%
25%
45%
32 24 8 -2
07 Feb. 2010
FOR
US Forcoli 1921
1 - 1
Sansepolcro Calcio
SAN
37%
25%
38%
32 36 4 0