Montevarchi Calcio vs Calenzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
MON
61%
23%
17%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ORV
1 - 3
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
ACD
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GAV
0 - 1
MON
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CLZ
2 - 3
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 1
CLZ
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SCA
1 - 0
CLZ
57%
22%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CLZ
2 - 2
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 0
CLZ
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |