Montevarchi Calcio vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 3
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
MPO
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
GRO
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 1
MON
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
SDT
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 1
GRA
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 3
FLA
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SCA
3 - 1
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |