Montevarchi Calcio vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PIA
1 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
USR
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 3
MON
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
ACP
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ACS
0 - 0
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 2
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GHI
1 - 1
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCV
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 4
GAV
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 3
BAS
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |