Liga MX Apertura Round 12

Monterrey vs FC Juárez analysis

Monterrey FC Juárez
83 ELO 72
-7.7% Tilt -8.1%
328º General ELO ranking 819º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
64.6%
Monterrey
21.8%
Draw
13.6%
FC Juárez

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
Monterrey
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.6%
Win probability
FC Juárez
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monterrey
+11%
-2%
FC Juárez

Points and table prediction

Monterrey
Their league position
FC Juárez
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
18
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
40
40
100%
Monterrey
33
33
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Pumas UNAM
28
28
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
27
27
100%
Puebla
25
25
100%
Atl. San Luis
23
23
100%
León
23
23
0%
Santos Laguna
23
23
0%
Mazatlán
10º
22
22
10º
0%
Pachuca
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Toluca
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Tijuana
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Querétaro
14º
19
19
14º
100%
FC Juárez
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Cruz Azul
16º
17
17
16º
0%
Atlas FC
17º
17
17
17º
0%
Necaxa
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Monterrey
FC Juárez
Final Series
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Monterrey
FC Juárez
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2023
PUE
Puebla
1 - 1
Monterrey
MON
34%
27%
40%
83 77 6 0
24 Sep. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL
3 - 0
Monterrey
MON
45%
26%
29%
84 84 0 -1
17 Sep. 2023
MON
Monterrey
3 - 1
León
LEO
45%
27%
29%
84 83 1 0
04 Sep. 2023
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
1 - 2
Monterrey
MON
45%
26%
29%
84 83 1 0
31 Aug. 2023
TOL
Toluca
1 - 0
Monterrey
MON
57%
22%
21%
84 84 0 0

Matches

FC Juárez
FC Juárez
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
TIJ
Tijuana
5 - 1
FC Juárez
JUA
40%
28%
32%
74 72 2 0
23 Sep. 2023
JUA
FC Juárez
1 - 2
Atlas FC
ATS
35%
28%
37%
74 81 7 0
17 Sep. 2023
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 1
FC Juárez
JUA
40%
28%
32%
75 72 3 -1
02 Sep. 2023
JUA
FC Juárez
3 - 1
Mazatlán
MAZ
48%
27%
26%
74 73 1 +1
26 Aug. 2023
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
FC Juárez
JUA
51%
25%
24%
75 77 2 -1