Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.9%
79.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 2
SAC
6%
18%
76%
|
14 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 2
MBF
94%
5%
1%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MBF
2 - 3
USA
5%
13%
82%
|
14 | 57 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MBF
0 - 2
ORS
6%
16%
78%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MBF
4 - 2
COL
4%
11%
86%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
NMU
0 - 2
BLE
52%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 2
NMU
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ORA
1 - 2
NMU
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
NMU
28%
28%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
NMU
7 - 0
ARI
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |