Montehermoso vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
IMP
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
ARR
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UCL
1 - 2
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
6 - 1
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARR
2 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 2
OLI
38%
28%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DPC
3 - 0
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
UDS
44%
26%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MIA
3 - 1
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |