Montego Bay United vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
MON
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 0
MON
37%
29%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
4 - 0
BOY
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
REN
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
LIO
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
LIO
0 - 1
BAR
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
LIO
0 - 1
CAV
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
BOY
2 - 0
LIO
52%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
LIO
0 - 1
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |