Montegiorgio vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
AVE
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
CES
10%
22%
68%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
4 - 2
ASD
78%
13%
8%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 0
MAT
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |