Montecasillas vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecasillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CDA
4 - 1
MON
58%
22%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
ROL
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MON
7 - 0
LOR
33%
24%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 1
ALC
58%
23%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 4
MIN
24%
23%
54%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 0
EFA
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
MIN
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 3
MME
53%
22%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |