Montecarlo vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CDM
4 - 1
UDM
42%
25%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UDM
0 - 1
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 0
CAS
31%
24%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 2
UDM
75%
16%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
UDM
2 - 0
MOR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
FUE
1 - 2
CAS
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CDC
4 - 1
FUE
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FUE
0 - 2
MOR
70%
19%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CEL
3 - 2
FUE
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FUE
2 - 1
BUJ
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |