Montecarlo vs UD Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 0
UDM
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UDM
3 - 1
CFV
30%
25%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CFV
2 - 0
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 0
POM
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 3
UDM
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 1
ADT
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ROB
1 - 2
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 1
UDB
53%
22%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 0
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 0
CDA
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |