Montebelluna vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CER
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
GIO
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 1
MON
30%
27%
44%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 5
LEG
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NKK
1 - 0
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAC
43%
27%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACE
1 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
CLO
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |