Montceau vs Morteau Montlebon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
13º
30
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
APO
1 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
4 - 1
QUE
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 6
SOC
29%
25%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 1
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Morteau Montlebon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
UNI
38%
23%
40%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
MOR
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
SEL
37%
24%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
APO
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 4
MOR
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |