Montceau vs Mâcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
MON
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
COU
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CLE
1 - 2
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
CSL
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
VIE
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
THI
43%
26%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHA
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CSL
0 - 1
MAC
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
COU
3 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
FEU
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +2 |