Montalegre vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CER
0 - 1
MON
20%
21%
60%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
VCO
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
MIR
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PED
0 - 0
MON
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MER
2 - 0
VIA
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 0
MER
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CER
0 - 0
MER
14%
18%
68%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |