National 3 Round 4

Montagnarde vs Guingamp II analysis

Montagnarde Guingamp II
38 ELO 40
-7.3% Tilt 0.5%
21006º General ELO ranking 4916º
526º Country ELO ranking 119º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Montagnarde
25.3%
Draw
34.2%
Guingamp II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
Montagnarde
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.2%
Win probability
Guingamp II
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montagnarde
+26%
-8%
Guingamp II

ELO progression

Montagnarde
Guingamp II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montagnarde
Montagnarde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2009
CON
Concarneau
4 - 0
Montagnarde
MON
53%
22%
25%
39 39 0 0
22 Aug. 2009
MON
Montagnarde
0 - 1
Dives
DIV
54%
23%
24%
40 35 5 -1
15 Aug. 2009
MON
Mondeville
1 - 2
Montagnarde
MON
50%
25%
26%
39 41 2 +1
30 May. 2009
MON
Montagnarde
2 - 1
Nantes II
NAN
39%
26%
35%
38 42 4 +1
23 May. 2009
ANG
Angers SCO II
2 - 2
Montagnarde
MON
39%
25%
36%
38 34 4 0

Matches

Guingamp II
Guingamp II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2009
DIV
Dives
2 - 0
Guingamp II
GUI
40%
24%
36%
42 36 6 0
22 Aug. 2009
GUI
Guingamp II
0 - 1
Lorient II
LOR
51%
25%
24%
43 39 4 -1
15 Aug. 2009
ALE
Alençon
0 - 1
Guingamp II
GUI
46%
26%
29%
42 43 1 +1
30 May. 2009
QUE
QRM
3 - 2
Guingamp II
GUI
64%
21%
15%
43 50 7 -1
23 May. 2009
GUI
Guingamp II
0 - 0
Le Havre II
LEH
49%
26%
25%
43 41 2 0