Montagnarde vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
STA
0 - 1
MON
66%
20%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 1
AVR
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CHA
6 - 1
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MON
2 - 3
LOC
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
3 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CON
0 - 0
BRE
33%
25%
41%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
SAI
1 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CON
1 - 1
LAV
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CON
2 - 3
STA
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
AVR
2 - 0
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |