Monsoon vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monsoon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
YPI
2 - 1
MON
75%
16%
10%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 3
GRE
4%
17%
79%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 2
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
CAX
10%
17%
73%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
PEL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
55%
24%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
SCI
8%
22%
71%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
JUV
11%
23%
66%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |