Monovar vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
JUM
2 - 3
MON
79%
13%
9%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
MON
4 - 0
ATC
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
AGU
3 - 3
MON
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
MON
0 - 2
ALB
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
RAY
1 - 3
MON
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
CIE
2 - 0
IMP
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
ORI
2 - 1
CIE
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
CIE
3 - 0
ALI
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
CFC
3 - 1
CIE
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |