Monopoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
5 - 1
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
FCC
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ISC
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 3
MON
22%
26%
53%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
MON
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 2
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
LEC
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 1
AVI
75%
16%
8%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
USF
2 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 3
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |