Monopoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 4
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
BEN
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
LCR
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASM
76%
18%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 3
LEC
12%
23%
66%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
USF
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |