Monforte vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
EMF
1 - 6
MON
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
AGU
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
UDC
19%
21%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 2
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 3
CHE
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 0
NOV
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 1
SEN
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
NOV
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 0
POB
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |