Monesterio vs Merida B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
MOR
3 - 0
MON
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MON
4 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
PLA
0 - 0
MON
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
MON
0 - 3
VIL
55%
24%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
BUR
5 - 1
MON
73%
17%
9%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Merida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
MCB
2 - 1
COR
39%
28%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
DBN
1 - 2
MCB
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MCB
5 - 0
OLI
67%
21%
12%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
UCL
1 - 2
MCB
14%
25%
62%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
GUA
1 - 6
MCB
23%
27%
50%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |