Monesterio vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
VIL
42%
27%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
IMP
1 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
OLI
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CER
1 - 0
MON
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
ARR
1 - 3
MOR
15%
25%
61%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AMA
1 - 1
ARR
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VIL
6 - 0
ARR
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ARR
0 - 1
SAM
29%
28%
42%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 0
ARR
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |