Moneni Pirates vs Denver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
10º
7º
32
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moneni Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DNV
1 - 2
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
MAD
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
MAN
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Denver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
DNV
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DNV
1 - 2
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DNV
1 - 0
ROY
47%
22%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 1
DNV
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DNV
2 - 1
GRE
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |