Moncarapachense vs Armacenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
MON
31%
23%
46%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ESP
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
FAR
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MEG
1 - 8
MON
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
IMO
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
ARM
23%
22%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 3
LAG
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ARM
2 - 3
ESP
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 1
ARM
74%
16%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ARM
2 - 1
MEG
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |