Moncarapachense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
12º
12º
25
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
OLI
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 4
CAL
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 1
ACA
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
TON
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 1
ACA
36%
27%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |